In this blog post, Colin Eberhardt looks at historic data and uses this to predict a 76% adoption of Silverlight 5 by the end of 2011.
Source: ScottLogic
New versions of Silverlight are being released at quite a high rate (approximately 1.5 VIPAs), however I feel that feature completeness isn’t really an obstacle that prevents people from using Silverlight, as a technology, it feels quite mature already. I think the main obstacle that prevents people from choosing Silverlight is the adoption statistics, i.e. the proportion of people who have the Silverlight plugin installed. With the announced release of Silverlight 5, I thought I would look at the current Silverlight adoption and make some predictions for the future.